US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 68% | +46% | - |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 66% | +52% | - |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 53% | +89% | $824 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 41% | +144% | $157 |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 BEST VALUE | 40% | +153% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Gael Monfils and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' i...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 03, 2026 at 03:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 68% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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