The market strongly favors Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 71% | +41% | $286 |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 68% | +48% | - |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +57% | $83 |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 4 Winner | 34% | +194% | $20 |
| 15 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 38.5 | 29% | +245% | - |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 28% | +264% | $383 |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 36.5 | 22% | +365% | - |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 40.5 | 20% | +388% | - |
| 20 | Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 19% | +426% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Muller and Tommy Paul in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (69% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 90% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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