The market strongly favors HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $5 |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $5 |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | $374 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | $27 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +102% | $33 |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | $107 |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +120% | $300 |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $138 |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 15% | +567% | $692 |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $485K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $481K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $477K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $481K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $481K, with $477K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms