The market strongly favors Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda | 100% | - | $86K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $5 |
| 3 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $26 |
| 6 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 7 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | - | $3K |
| 10 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 13 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 14 | Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Alexandr Binda in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain'...
This prediction market tracks whether Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda will occur, with $90K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 06, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Binda at 100% probability, with $90K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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