Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 84% | +20% | $12 |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 66% | +53% | - |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi | 62% | +63% | $29K |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 36.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner | 57% | +74% | - |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 Winner | 57% | +75% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner | 56% | +79% | - |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 38.5 | 55% | +83% | $25 |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 40.5 | 49% | +104% | $4 |
| 20 | Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 47% | +113% | $797 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Luciano Darderi in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 12:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 84% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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