Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +21% | - |
| 2 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka | 70% | +44% | $22K |
| 3 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 Winner | 62% | +60% | - |
| 4 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 22.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 12 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +120% | $677 |
| 13 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 14 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 35% | +186% | $29 |
| 15 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Match O/U 21.5 | 32% | +212% | $157 |
| 16 | Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +471% | $22 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Stan Wawrinka in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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