Market is split — Any Player Rampage at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Rampage | 56% | +77% | - |
| 2 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Game 2 Winner | 48% | +108% | - |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 47% | +113% | - |
| 16 | Game 1 Winner | 39% | +156% | $3 |
| 17 | Match Winner | 36% | +174% | $24K |
| 18 | Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | 36% | +178% | $1 |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage | 26% | +292% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Thi...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Rampage leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 22:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Rampage at 56% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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