The market strongly favors Game 2 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $11.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | - | $2.0M |
| 2 | Match Winner | 100% | - | $6.9M |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $76K |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | $21 |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | $1K |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | $213 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $5 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $10 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. Thi...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $11.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 2 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $17K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 2 Winner at 100% probability, with $11.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $11.2M, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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