Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald | 72% | +40% | $2K |
| 2 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 1 Winner | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 55% | +83% | $27K |
| 5 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $25 |
| 9 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Match O/U 23.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Game Spread +/-4.5 | 48% | +106% | $44 |
| 11 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 12 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 13 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Match O/U 22.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 14 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 38% | +160% | - |
| 15 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set 2 Winner | 37% | +170% | - |
| 16 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 17 | Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 16% | +525% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Mackenzie McDonald in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 09:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Porto 2: Toby Samuel vs Mackenzie McDonald at 72% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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