Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 2 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +69% | $13 |
| 3 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | 58% | +71% | $22K |
| 4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner | 55% | +82% | - |
| 6 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner | 55% | +82% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | - |
| 8 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-1.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 9 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | $3 |
| 14 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $3 |
| 15 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +174% | $14 |
| 16 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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