Market is split — Completed Match at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $50 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $12 |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +102% | $70 |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +102% | $141 |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +127% | $2K |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | - |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $689 |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner | 5% | +2098% | $5 |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz | 1% | +7043% | $62K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shim...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz will occur, with $81K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Completed Match leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $81K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 50% probability, with $81K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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