San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% | +26% | - |
| 2 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter | 60% | +65% | $17K |
| 3 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Match O/U 21.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +77% | - |
| 6 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Game Spread +/-1.5 | 54% | +85% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | $49 |
| 9 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +125% | $2 |
| 13 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $5 |
| 14 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 2 Winner | 32% | +217% | - |
| 16 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Edward Winter in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith'...
This prediction market tracks whether San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 21, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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