The market strongly favors Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 3 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 5 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu | 72% | +38% | $85K |
| 6 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 21.5 | 66% | +50% | - |
| 7 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 53% | +89% | $5 |
| 8 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $1 |
| 11 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $55 |
| 12 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Yunchaokete Bu in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colto...
This prediction market tracks whether Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu will occur, with $86K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $86K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $86K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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