Market is split — China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | $16 |
| 2 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 21.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 4 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 5 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | $10 |
| 13 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner | 37% | +170% | - |
| 14 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 23.5 | 30% | +239% | $9 |
| 15 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan | 24% | +326% | $66K |
| 16 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner | 16% | +506% | $175 |
| 17 | China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $185 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Alex Molcan in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $70K traded in the last 24 hours alone (102% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 04:35 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 56% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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