Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 2 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 21.5 | 61% | +64% | $48 |
| 3 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | $2 |
| 5 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | +104% | $39 |
| 9 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Game Spread +/-2.5 | 49% | +104% | $50 |
| 10 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 Winner | 44% | +130% | - |
| 11 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +138% | - |
| 12 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 2 Winner | 42% | +141% | - |
| 13 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 14 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce | 38% | +160% | $20K |
| 15 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +174% | - |
| 16 | Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 36% | +174% | $23 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Martin Landaluce in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka'...
This prediction market tracks whether Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 20, 2026 at 18:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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