Market is split — 3.4% at 44%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.4% | 44% | +127% | $24K |
| 2 | 3.3% | 34% | +199% | $15K |
| 3 | 3.5% | 12% | +770% | $11K |
| 4 | 3.2% BEST VALUE | 11% | +839% | $2K |
| 5 | 3.1% | 3% | +2930% | $2K |
| 6 | 3.7% | 2% | +5782% | $2K |
| 7 | 3.6% | 1% | +7307% | $2K |
| 8 | 3.0% | 1% | +11011% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage cha...
This prediction market tracks whether August Inflation US - Annual will occur, with $66K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
The market is closely contested, with 3.4% leading at just 44%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $9K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.4% at 44% probability, with $66K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms