No clear favorite. Holstein Kiel leads at just 40%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstein Kiel | 40% | +153% | $33K |
| 2 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 30% | +233% | $28K |
| 3 | Draw (Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910) BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $944 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, August 14, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910.
This prediction market tracks whether Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 will occur, with $62K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Holstein Kiel leads at only 40% across 3 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $61K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 17:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Holstein Kiel at 40% probability, with $62K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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