The market strongly favors EC Bahia (-1.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Bahia (-1.5) | 100% | +0% | $22K |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $992 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 100% | +0% | $25K |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $4K |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | +0% | $20K |
| 6 | EC Bahia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $348 |
| 7 | EC Bahia O/U 0.5 BEST VALUE | 100% | +0% | $7K |
| 8 | EC Bahia O/U 1.5 | 100% | +0% | $5K |
| 9 | EC Bahia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 10 | EC Bahia O/U 2.5 | 1% | +18082% | $423 |
| 11 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5 | 1% | +18082% | $274 |
| 12 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 1.5 | 1% | +18082% | $1K |
| 13 | EC Bahia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% | +18082% | $5 |
| 14 | EC Bahia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% | +18082% | - |
| 15 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 1% | +18082% | - |
| 16 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% | +18082% | - |
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More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for July 17 at 6:30 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - More Markets will occur, with $235K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: EC Bahia (-1.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $234K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is EC Bahia (-1.5) at 100% probability, with $235K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $235K, with $234K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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