24%+ leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24%+ | 70% | +43% | $20K |
| 2 | 22-24% | 20% | +400% | $3K |
| 3 | 20-22% BEST VALUE | 7% | +1270% | $1K |
| 4 | 18-20% | 2% | +4248% | $1K |
| 5 | <18% | 1% | +16567% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of...
This prediction market tracks whether Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward 24%+ at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (65% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 24%+ at 70% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms