The market strongly favors Spread -0.5 at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 99% | +1% | $134 |
| 2 | Spread -8.5 | 99% | +1% | $121 |
| 3 | Spread -13.5 | 92% | +8% | $239 |
| 4 | Spread -4.5 | 76% | +32% | $138 |
| 5 | O/U 54.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 6 | Spread -10.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 7 | Spread -2.5 | 52% | +94% | $105 |
| 8 | Spread -5.5 | 52% | +94% | $122 |
| 9 | Spread -6.5 | 52% | +94% | $94 |
| 10 | Spread -7.5 | 52% | +94% | $82 |
| 11 | Spread -1.5 | 51% | +96% | $89 |
| 12 | Spread -3.5 | 51% | +96% | $105 |
| 13 | O/U 55.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 14 | Spread -49.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 15 | Spread -27.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +98% | - |
| 16 | 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 17 | Ohio State O/U 55.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 18 | Ball State O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 20 | 4Q Spread -12.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:30PM ET: If Ball State wins, the market will resolve to "Ball State". If Ohio State wins, the market will resolve to "Ohio State"...
This prediction market tracks whether Ball State vs. Ohio State will occur, with $48K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Spread -0.5 is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $47K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Spread -0.5 at 99% probability, with $48K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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