The market strongly favors Drew Jenner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Jenner | 100% | +0% | $9K |
| 2 | Candidate B BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Candidate S | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Candidate T | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a re...
This prediction market tracks whether Clarence Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Drew Jenner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (42% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Drew Jenner at 100% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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