Market is split — Candidate M at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $29.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Candidate M | 50% | +102% | - |
| 2 | Abelardo de la Espriella | 44% | +130% | $1.1M |
| 3 | Iván Cepeda Castro | 40% | +147% | $980K |
| 4 | Paloma Valencia BEST VALUE | 16% | +523% | $1.2M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round....
As of May 15, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Candidate M at 50% probability, with $29.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $29.1M, with $164K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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