Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Candidate M | 50% | - |
| 2 | Iván Cepeda Castro | 44% | $444K |
| 3 | Paloma Valencia | 41% | $553K |
| 4 | Abelardo de la Espriella | 14% | $549K |
| 5 | Sergio Fajardo (DC) | 1% | $1.3M |
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As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is Candidate M at 50% probability, with $8.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $8.9M, with $167K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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