No clear favorite. December 31 leads at just 14%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $38.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 14% | +641% | $29.3M |
| 2 | September 30 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $598K |
| 3 | June 30 | 2% | +4155% | $1.3M |
| 4 | May 31 | 1% | +15285% | $3.9M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively...
As of May 15, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 14% probability, with $38.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $38.8M, with $532K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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