0.2% leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 76% | +32% | $12K |
| 2 | 0.3% | 17% | +492% | $9K |
| 3 | ≤0.0% BEST VALUE | 5% | +1823% | $2K |
| 4 | 0.1% | 5% | +1823% | $5K |
| 5 | 0.4% | 2% | +4662% | $2K |
| 6 | 0.5% | 1% | +15285% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This mark...
This prediction market tracks whether Core CPI MoM - July 2026 will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
Traders lean toward 0.2% at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (56% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 14:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 0.2% at 76% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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