The market strongly favors Map 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Winner | 100% | - | $22K |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 3 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 100% | - | $5 |
| 4 | Map 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $78K |
| 5 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $30K |
| 6 | Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 7 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $50 |
| 8 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% | +0% | $5 |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% | +0% | $5 |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% | +1% | $5 |
| 11 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between magic and Gentle Mates in the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for July 21 at 12:30PM ET. This mark...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C will occur, with $136K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Map 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $136K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $136K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $136K, with $136K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms