Market is split — Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 49% | +104% | - |
| 6 | Map 1 Winner | 43% | +133% | $181 |
| 7 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) | 42% | +141% | $21K |
| 8 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) | 41% | +144% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +150% | $16 |
| 10 | Map 2 Winner | 34% | +194% | $821 |
| 11 | Match Winner BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00AM ET. This ma...
This prediction market tracks whether Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 50% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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