This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavin Newsom | 24% | $16.8M |
| 2 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8% | $6.2M |
| 3 | Jon Ossoff | 6% | $5.9M |
| 4 | Kamala Harris | 4% | $8.8M |
| 5 | Josh Shapiro | 4% | $6.0M |
| 6 | Pete Buttigieg | 4% | $9.6M |
| 7 | James Talarico | 2% | $4.0M |
| 8 | Jon Stewart | 2% | $10.2M |
| 9 | J.B. Pritzker | 2% | $11.7M |
| 10 | Andy Beshear | 2% | $6.4M |
| 11 | Mark Kelly | 2% | $11.1M |
| 12 | Ruben Gallego | 2% | $3.6M |
| 13 | Wes Moore | 2% | $13.6M |
| 14 | Ro Khanna | 1% | $4.2M |
| 15 | Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | $7.2M |
| 16 | Michelle Obama | 1% | $21.5M |
| 17 | Rahm Emanuel | 1% | $11.2M |
| 18 | Stephen A. Smith | 1% | $13.9M |
| 19 | Oprah Winfrey | 1% | $43.3M |
| 20 | Cory Booker | 1% | $21.4M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 18:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Gavin Newsom at 24% probability, with $942.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $942.8M, with $8.6M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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