Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +31% | $3K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +46% | $116 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 68% | +46% | $187 |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 56% | +79% | $1 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | 50% | +102% | $6K |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 47% | +113% | - |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +147% | $2K |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 36% | +174% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +212% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +212% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +212% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 30% | +233% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and GamerLegion in the BLAST Slam Group D, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aur...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 05:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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