Market is split — Any Player Ultra Kill at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +77% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 54% | +87% | - |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 2? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 53% | +89% | - |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 1? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | $92 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Game 1 Winner | 48% | +111% | $127 |
| 13 | Game 2 Winner | 48% | +111% | $52 |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 46% | +117% | - |
| 15 | Match Winner | 46% | +120% | $11K |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +239% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +239% | - |
| 20 | Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Iron Wing and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Ultra Kill leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Ultra Kill at 56% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms