The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +14% | $17K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 80% | +24% | $1K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | $348 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | 64% | +57% | $3K |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +77% | - |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 2? | 56% | +80% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 56% | +80% | - |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 52% | +92% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Rampage | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 48% | +111% | - |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 48% | +111% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +208% | $6 |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +208% | $6 |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +208% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 31% | +223% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 30% | +228% | $3K |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will reso...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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