Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +21% | $8K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $164 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | $18 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | 57% | +74% | $4K |
| 5 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 57% | +74% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 57% | +75% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 57% | +75% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +79% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +79% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 55% | +82% | - |
| 11 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 51% | +96% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 16 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 34% | +194% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Falcons and LGD Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Falcons vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 16:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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