The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $19K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $23K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $16K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: Game Master (-1.5) vs Grey Trac (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $4K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $50 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 90% | +11% | $50 |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +11% | $200 |
| 9 | Ends in Daytime | 90% | +12% | $20 |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | $56 |
| 11 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Game Master and Grey Trac in the The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 16 at 3:00AM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs will occur, with $52K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $52K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 09:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $52K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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