First Blood in Game 1? leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 70% | +44% | $21 |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 68% | +47% | $21 |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 51% | +96% | $21 |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +102% | $272 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | $21 |
| 9 | Game 1 Winner | 48% | +106% | $893 |
| 10 | Game 2 Winner | 48% | +106% | $301 |
| 11 | Match Winner | 46% | +115% | $27K |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 44% | +127% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 36% | +178% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | $2 |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 35% | +186% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 35% | +186% | - |
| 17 | Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5) | 28% | +257% | $172 |
| 18 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 27% | +270% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward First Blood in Game 1? at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 70% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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