The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $11.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $1.0M |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $22K |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | $17 |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | $57 |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | $430 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $11.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $557K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 22, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $11.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $11.0M, with $557K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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