Market is split — Any Player Ultra Kill at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 57% | +75% | $6 |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 56% | +77% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 54% | +87% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | $152 |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +98% | $44 |
| 8 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | $126 |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +106% | $9 |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 2? | 46% | +120% | - |
| 13 | Game 1 Winner | 42% | +135% | $387 |
| 14 | Game 2 Winner | 42% | +135% | $26K |
| 15 | Match Winner | 40% | +147% | $17K |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 32% | +208% | $33 |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 32% | +208% | $32 |
| 18 | Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | 32% | +212% | $51 |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +217% | $13 |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between LGD Gaming and 1win in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs will occur, with $43K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Ultra Kill leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $43K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 03, 2026 at 07:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Ultra Kill at 57% probability, with $43K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms