The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 94% | +6% | $62K |
| 2 | Match Winner | 72% | +40% | $10K |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 58% | +72% | - |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 53% | +89% | - |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 52% | +90% | $895 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | $278 |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | $4K |
| 10 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% | +104% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | $136 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Rune Eaters in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: MOUZ vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs will occur, with $79K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $82K traded in the last 24 hours alone (103% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 12:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 94% probability, with $79K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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