Market is split — Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) | 54% | +87% | $57K |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +147% | $196 |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +217% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +217% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 30% | +239% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $227K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $227K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) at 54% probability, with $227K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $227K, with $227K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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