Market is split — Any Player Ultra Kill at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 58% | +72% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 56% | +80% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 53% | +89% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Game 1 Winner | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Game 2 Winner | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Match Winner | 46% | +120% | $13K |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 33% | +203% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 33% | +203% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 30% | +228% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 30% | +228% | - |
| 16 | Game Handicap: NH (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5) | 28% | +251% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +257% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% | +257% | - |
| 19 | Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs No Hoodwink (+1.5) | 24% | +308% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Spirit Academy and No Hoodwink in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Any Player Ultra Kill leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Any Player Ultra Kill at 58% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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