National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $1.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +56% | $51 |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +98% | - |
| 3 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 49% | +104% | $618 |
| 7 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 46% | +117% | $28 |
| 8 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 44% | +125% | - |
| 9 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 | 41% | +144% | - |
| 10 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $15 |
| 11 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 | 34% | +190% | $6 |
| 12 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner | 34% | +194% | - |
| 13 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner | 34% | +199% | - |
| 14 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek | 26% | +277% | $1.5M |
| 15 | National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +355% | $6 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shn...
This prediction market tracks whether National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek will occur, with $1.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $1.5M traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 14:35 UTC, the leading outcome is National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 64% probability, with $1.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.5M, with $1.5M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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