Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) | 60% | +65% | $3K |
| 2 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 56% | +79% | - |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 56% | +80% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Rampage | 56% | +80% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 52% | +92% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 47% | +113% | - |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 2? | 46% | +117% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 Games | 34% | +190% | $214 |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +212% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +212% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 26% | +277% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 26% | +277% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Resilience and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) at 60% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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