The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 96% | +5% | - |
| 2 | Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 | 88% | +14% | - |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 82% | +21% | $4K |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 75% | +33% | - |
| 5 | Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 70% | +43% | - |
| 6 | Leeds United FC O/U 0.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 8 | Chelsea FC O/U 1.5 | 63% | +59% | $11 |
| 9 | Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 | 60% | +65% | $311 |
| 11 | Both Teams to Score | 56% | +77% | $255 |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 13 | Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 14 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 15 | Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 38% | +160% | $24K |
| 16 | O/U 3.5 | 38% | +160% | $2K |
| 17 | Chelsea FC O/U 2.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 18 | Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 19 | Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 34% | +190% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for September 9 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 09, 2026 at 10:35 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 96% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms