No clear favorite. 840-879 leads at just 14%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 840-879 | 14% | +641% | $1K |
| 2 | 920-959 | 14% | +641% | $4K |
| 3 | 880-919 | 14% | +641% | $1K |
| 4 | 960-999 | 13% | +655% | $829 |
| 5 | 800-839 | 9% | +1011% | $379 |
| 6 | 1000-1039 | 8% | +1233% | $663 |
| 7 | 1040-1079 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1595% | $188 |
| 8 | 760-799 | 5% | +2028% | $238 |
| 9 | 1080-1119 | 4% | +2432% | $288 |
| 10 | 1120-1159 | 3% | +3233% | $175 |
| 11 | 1160-1199 | 2% | +3900% | $246 |
| 12 | 1200-1239 | 2% | +4344% | $129 |
| 13 | 720-759 | 2% | +4662% | $185 |
| 14 | 1240-1279 | 2% | +5163% | $126 |
| 15 | 1400+ | 1% | +8596% | $1K |
| 16 | 1280-1319 | 1% | +9424% | $141 |
| 17 | 1320-1359 | 1% | +9424% | $175 |
| 18 | 680-719 | 1% | +18082% | $258 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and repos...
This prediction market tracks whether Elon Musk # tweets in June 2026? will occur, with $37K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 840-879 leads at only 14% across 18 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (43% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 15, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 840-879 at 14% probability, with $37K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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