The market strongly favors 2,000 at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2,000 | 99% | +1% | $3K |
| 2 | 2,100 | 99% | +1% | $4K |
| 3 | 2,200 | 97% | +3% | $5K |
| 4 | 2,300 | 92% | +9% | $9K |
| 5 | 2,400 | 70% | +44% | $867 |
| 6 | 2,500 | 34% | +199% | $623 |
| 7 | 2,600 BEST VALUE | 10% | +910% | $167 |
| 8 | 2,700 | 3% | +3409% | $256 |
| 9 | 2,900 | 1% | +8233% | $10 |
| 10 | 2,800 | 1% | +9900% | $1K |
| 11 | 3,000 | 1% | +18082% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...
This prediction market tracks whether Ethereum above ___ on October 20? will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: 2,000 is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (60% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 15, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 2,000 at 99% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms