The market strongly favors ↓ 85,000 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $36.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↓ 85,000 | 100% | - | $12K |
| 2 | ↓ 65,000 | 100% | - | $1.5M |
| 3 | ↑ 90,000 | 100% | - | $23K |
| 4 | ↓ 75,000 | 100% | - | $1.1M |
| 5 | ↓ 60,000 | 100% | - | $44K |
| 6 | ↑ 70,000 | 100% | - | $44K |
| 7 | ↑ 75,000 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | ↑ 80,000 | 100% | - | $776K |
| 9 | ↑ 90,000 | 70% | +44% | $598K |
| 10 | ↑ 100,000 | 48% | +111% | $1.6M |
| 11 | ↓ 55,000 | 46% | +120% | $2.8M |
| 12 | ↓ 50,000 | 38% | +167% | $1.1M |
| 13 | ↓ 45,000 | 28% | +251% | $2.4M |
| 14 | ↑ 110,000 | 26% | +277% | $885K |
| 15 | ↓ 40,000 | 24% | +326% | $592K |
| 16 | ↑ 120,000 | 18% | +441% | $723K |
| 17 | ↓ 35,000 | 14% | +641% | $2.1M |
| 18 | ↑ 140,000 | 12% | +700% | $825K |
| 19 | ↑ 130,000 | 12% | +700% | $937K |
| 20 | ↓ 30,000 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $320K |
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What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 85,000 at 100% probability, with $36.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $36.5M, with $113K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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