Magnus Carlsen leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnus Carlsen | 82% | +22% | $7K |
| 2 | A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Denis Lazavik BEST VALUE | 17% | +473% | $3K |
| 9 | Alireza Firouzja | 3% | +3604% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Chess tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 11, 2026 to August 15, 2026. If this tournament is po...
This prediction market tracks whether EWC Chess 2026: Winner will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Magnus Carlsen at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (46% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Magnus Carlsen at 82% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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