$150M leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $2.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $150M | 74% | +36% | $307K |
| 2 | $300M | 41% | +144% | $962K |
| 3 | $500M | 26% | +292% | $884K |
| 4 | $800M | 12% | +770% | $200K |
| 5 | $1B BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $84K |
| 6 | $2B | 2% | +4778% | $97K |
| 7 | $3B | 1% | +7592% | $73K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." T...
This prediction market tracks whether Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? will occur, with $2.6M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
Traders lean toward $150M at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $15K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is $150M at 74% probability, with $2.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.6M, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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