No clear favorite. December Meeting leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $2.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December Meeting | 24% | +326% | $159K |
| 2 | October Meeting | 15% | +578% | $53K |
| 3 | September Meeting BEST VALUE | 10% | +857% | $108K |
| 4 | July Meeting | 3% | +3126% | $117K |
| 5 | June Meeting | 1% | +14186% | $586K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)...
This prediction market tracks whether Fed rate cut by...? will occur, with $2.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — December Meeting leads at only 24% across 5 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 02:45 UTC, the leading outcome is December Meeting at 24% probability, with $2.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.2M, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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