The market strongly favors Brazil at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 90% | +12% | $19K |
| 2 | Draw (Brazil vs. Haiti) BEST VALUE | 6% | +1526% | $15K |
| 3 | Haiti | 4% | +2497% | $67K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 19, 2026 between Brazil and Haiti.
This prediction market tracks whether Brazil vs. Haiti will occur, with $101K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Brazil is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (17% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Brazil at 90% probability, with $101K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $101K, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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