Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots | 84% | +18% | $67 |
| 2 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots | 74% | +34% | $25 |
| 3 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots | 74% | +36% | $28 |
| 4 | Lyle Foster: 1+ shots | 72% | +39% | - |
| 5 | Roberto Alvarado: 1+ shots | 64% | +57% | - |
| 6 | Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots | 62% | +63% | - |
| 7 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots | 60% | +68% | $1 |
| 8 | Roberto Alvarado: 2+ shots | 58% | +71% | - |
| 9 | Alexis Vega: 1+ shots | 57% | +74% | $47 |
| 10 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots | 57% | +74% | $4 |
| 11 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots | 56% | +77% | $219 |
| 12 | Álvaro Fidalgo: 1+ shots | 56% | +77% | - |
| 13 | Relebohile Mofokeng: 1+ shots | 55% | +82% | - |
| 14 | Oswin Appollis: 1+ shots | 55% | +83% | $2 |
| 15 | Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots | 53% | +89% | - |
| 16 | Iqraam Rayners: 1+ shots | 52% | +92% | - |
| 17 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots | 50% | +98% | $19 |
| 18 | César Huerta: 1+ shots | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Alexis Vega: 2+ shots | 48% | +108% | $34K |
| 20 | Orbelín Pineda: 1+ shots BEST VALUE | 47% | +113% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Goal scorer markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and South Africa, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Mexico vs. South Africa - Player Props will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots at 84% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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