No clear favorite. December 31, 2027 leads at just 32%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2027 | 32% | +212% | $1 |
| 2 | June 30, 2027 | 22% | +344% | $1 |
| 3 | March 31, 2027 | 14% | +590% | $3K |
| 4 | December 31, 2026 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $9K |
| 5 | November 30, 2026 | 3% | +3075% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined...
This prediction market tracks whether Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — December 31, 2027 leads at only 32% across 5 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-04-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 32% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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