The market strongly favors June 30 at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $1.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 30 | 90% | +11% | $276K |
| 2 | July 31 | 88% | +14% | $24K |
| 3 | May 31 BEST VALUE | 81% | +24% | $316K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to r...
As of May 15, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is June 30 at 90% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $133K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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