Market is split — 28°C at 44%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28°C | 44% | +125% | $7K |
| 2 | 29°C or higher | 40% | +147% | $12K |
| 3 | 27°C BEST VALUE | 15% | +564% | $10K |
| 4 | 26°C | 3% | +3822% | $11K |
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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market w...
As of May 15, 2026 at 01:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 28°C at 44% probability, with $73K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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